Matt Schnell vs. Joseph Morales prediction, odds, pick for UFC Vegas 111

Matt Schnell vs. Joseph Morales Prediction and Odds for UFC Vegas 111

UFC Vegas 111 features a flyweight bout between Matt Schnell and Joseph Morales, continuing the exciting main card action alongside the Gabriel Bonfim vs. Randy Brown fight.

Fighter Backgrounds

Matt Schnell (17-9) recently ended a three-fight losing streak with a unanimous decision win over Jimmy Flick in April. Before that, Schnell lost to Cody Durden by submission and Steve Erceg by knockout. Despite those setbacks, Schnell has demonstrated resilience and strong submission defense heading into this matchup.

Joseph Morales (13-2) enters the fight riding a five-fight win streak. He secured a submission victory via triangle choke against Alibi Idiris in the TUF 33 finale. Morales also earned a split decision over Sidemar Honorio and submitted Anthony Do, showcasing a well-rounded skill set.

UFC Vegas 111 Odds

Fight Analysis

Matt Schnell’s swift submission skills and extensive Octagon experience pose a significant challenge for Joseph Morales. Schnell has five UFC finishes, known for quick neck chokes and armbars that may take advantage of Morales’ tendencies in mid-fight scrambles. Although Morales is on an impressive winning run, Schnell has faced a higher caliber of opponents in the UFC.

"Schnell owns five UFC finishes, displaying the ability to snatch necks and attack armbars with lightning speed, which can exploit Morales’ mid-fight scrambling."

Author’s summary: Matt Schnell’s experience and submission prowess make him a tough opponent for the undefeated Joseph Morales, despite Morales’ current momentum and balanced attack.

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ClutchPoints ClutchPoints — 2025-11-07